PREMIUM SERVICE REPORT - ALL SPORTS
SERVICE REPORTS AVAILABLE:
THE NIGHT BEFORE WHEN AVAILABLE AND/OR THE MORNING OF EACH GAME DAY
 AND MOSTLY COMPLETED NO LATER THAN 2 HOURS PRIOR TO START OF THE FIRST GAME TIMES.
NOTE: FINAL THURSDAY REPORT #5

NEXT REPORT FRIDAY 1/08/2010 BY 10:00 AM PACIFIC.
 (As most of you know, the reports on this page are generally delivered, much earlier than the scheduled time)
PREMIUM SERVICE REPORT UPDATED DAILY THE NIGHT BEFORE OR EARLY GAME DAY MORNING.
WINNING SERVICE PLAYS IN RED (PLAYS BASED ON THIS SEASON AND
MULTI-YEAR SERVICE RECORDS)

O=OVER     U=UNDER      H  = WINNING 5 YEAR HISTORY RECORD
OP= OPINION ONLY, A NON-RATED UNOFFICIAL PLAY WHICH WILL
NOT BE  REFLECTED IN THE SERVICES RECORD AS RECORDED BY
SPORTS MONITOR.  AN OPINION WILL BE TREATED AS A PASS.
TIME PERMITTING  NOTES OF INTEREST WILL BE ADDED BELOW THE SERVICES PLAYS.
WE IN NO WAY ENDORSE, PROMOTE OR SUGGEST ANYTHING STATED WHAT-SO-EVER AS
FACT. THESE ARE THE WORDS OF THE SERVICE THEMSELVES, NOT OUR'S.
SPORTS SERVICE
(STATUS: EARLY REPORT, UDATED
OR FINAL IN GREEN WHEN THEY
OCCUR FOR PREMIUM SERVICES)
 		NFL
W/L
THRU
1/7
 CFB
W/L
THRU
 1/7 		NBA
W/L
THRU
 1/7		 CBK
W/L
THRU
 1/7		 *RATING*
SYSTEM
 PREMIUM SERVICE SELECTIONS
 ALL SPORTS
LAST UPDATED 4:25 PM PACIFIC TIME
(FOR GAMES PLAYED THURSDAY 1/07/2010)
JOE MICHAELS
PERSONAL BEST
(FINAL)
 MEMBERS
RECEIVE
WIN / LOSS
RECORDS
WITH DAILY
REPORTS IN
THESE COLUMNS		 1-5 UNITS
SEASON
TO DATE
58%
TOP PLAYS
7-4  64%
 AVAILABLE TO PREMIUM MEMBERS ONLY
(EXPECT ADDED PLAYS ON GAME DAY....IF PLAYS ARE ADDED THEY WILL BE SENT TO YOU)
NFL: *****
CFB: *****
NBA: *****
CBK: *****
OTHER: *****
BROOKLYN HOWIE
(FINAL)
All 1 unit plays unless
 otherwise noted.
2 unit plays very rare



1-2 UNITS
SEASON
TO DATE
62%
TOP PLAYS
 7-0  100% 
 AVAILABLE TO PREMIUM MEMBERS ONLY
(EXPECT ADDED PLAYS ON GAME DAY....IF PLAYS ARE ADDED THEY WILL BE SENT TO YOU)
NFL: *****
CFB: *****
NBA: *****
CBK: *****
TOTAL EDGE
(FINAL)



1 UNIT
SEASON
TO DATE
55%

AVAILABLE TO PREMIUM MEMBERS ONLY
(EXPECT ADDED PLAYS ON GAME DAY....IF PLAYS ARE ADDED THEY WILL BE SENT TO YOU)
NFL:
CFB: *****
NBA: *****
SPORTS MONITOR
(FINAL)
 MEMBERS
RECEIVE
WIN / LOSS
RECORDS
WITH DAILY
REPORTS IN
THESE COLUMNS		 1-5 UNITS
SEASON
TO DATE
56%
4* & 5*
 TOP
 PLAYS
30-20 60%
 NFL: *****
CFB: BCS NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME: 3* TEXAS +4.5 
NBA: *****
CBK: 2* NORTHEASTERN -7.5, 1* LA SALLE +4
SPORTS SERVICE
 		NFL
W/L
THRU
1/01
 CFB
W/L
THRU
 1/01
 NBA
W/L
THRU
 1/01		 CBK
W/L
THRU
 1/01		 RATING
SYSTEM
ALL OTHER SERVICE SELECTIONS
Alatex
THRU 12-16



10-20 CFB: 10 ALA
American Sports Analysts-(ASA)



3-10 CFB: PASS
Animal



R-T
 CFB: T-TEX
A-Play



10-25 CFB: 10 ALA
CBK:10 MICH, DEN
Against The Spread - (ATS)



3-20
 CFB: 4 ALA, 3 UNDER
 CBK: 4 LOYCHI
Big Al's Sportsline



1-5
 CFB: 5* GOY - TEXAS
COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR - TEXAS
Blazer



2-10
 CFB: 3 ALA
Ben Burns



2-10 CFB: 10 GOY-UNDER
 BOWL TOTAL OF THE YEAR-UNDER
Dave Cokin



R-T
 CFB: T-ALA
 CBK: R-MONROE
Doc's Enterprises



1-5 NBA: 3 NY-U
Dr. Bob Sports



2-4 CFB: PASS

ALABAMA (-3.5) 26 Texas 19
BCS Championship
07-Jan-10 05:35 PM Pacific Time
The point spread on this game makes sense if you look at each team's overall performance this season, but Alabama has proven themselves against quality opponents while Texas has not, especially offensively.

Texas averaged 40.7 points per game this season, but that number is very misleading given the 11 non-offensive touchdowns that the Longhorns scored. The Texas offense does look good from a compensated yards per play perspective, averaging 5.8 yppl against teams that would allow 5.2 yppl to an average team, but that's hardly the prolific attack that their average points would lead you to believe (I rate their offense as 36th best in the nation based on compensated yards per play). Texas was also relatively much better against mediocre and bad defensive teams than they were against better than average stop units, as the Longhorns racked up an average of 567 total yards at 7.1 yppl against UL Monroe, Wyoming, UTEP, UCF, Kansas, and Texas A&M - teams that would combine to allow 5.8 yppl to an average team. That's a rating of 1.3 yppl better than average against sub-par defensive teams. Texas struggled against better than average defensive teams, averaging just 4.5 yppl against Texas Tech, Colorado (better than average from week 3 on when they simplified their defensive scheme), Oklahoma, Missouri, Oklahoma State, Baylor, and Nebraska - teams that would allow 4.6 yppl to an average attack. Thus, Texas was 0.1 yppl worse than average against better than average defensive teams and the better the defense faced the worse the Longhorns' compensated offensive rating was.

Alabama has a very strong defense, one which yielded just 4.3 yppl to teams that would combine to average 5.8 yppl against an average defense. Texas faced two teams of that are about that caliber defensively, Oklahoma and Nebraska. Against Oklahoma the Longhorns managed just 270 total yards at 3.5 yppl and 16 points and the only reason they won that game (16-13) was because of 5 Oklahoma turnovers. Against Nebraska in the Big 12 Championship game the Longhorns tallied just 202 yards at 2.7 yppl and scored just 13 points and were also very fortunate to win that game. In those two games Texas rated at 0.8 yppl worse than average offensively, averaging 3.1 yppl against the Sooners and Cornhuskers great defensive units that would combine to allow 3.9 yppl to an average team.
If I include every game for the Texas offense then my math model would project 296 total yards at 4.6 yppl, but the correlation between the level of opposing defense and the performance of the Texas offense was so strong (correlation coefficient of r=0.92) that I felt it was more predictive to use a profile analysis of the Texas offense. A profile analysis helps to find a rating for the running offense and passing offense based on performance against opponents with similar statistical characteristics of their current opponent Alabama. I also adjust to compensate for any variance that may skew the numbers due to one or two very good or very bad game ratings. In more basic terms, I grade the Texas run offense on how they performed relatively when facing good run defenses and I grade quarterback Colt McCoy, on a relative basis, on how he performed against good pass defenses while dampening the affect of outliers (i.e. games that were much better or worse than the overall rating carry less weight). That analysis gives a rating of 0.4 yards per rushing play worse than average for the Texas rushing attack and a rating of just 0.1 yards per pass play better than average for Colt McCoy, who averaged just 5.1 yppp against better than average pass defenses this season (those teams would allow 5.0 yppp to an average QB). Using the results of the profile analysis would lead to a projection of just 253 total yards at 3.9 yppl for Texas in this game.

While I don't expect the Texas offense to do much in this game, their outstanding defense and very good special teams (7 special teams touchdowns this season) could keep the Longhorns in this game. The Texas stop unit yielded just 3.3 yards per rushing play, 4.5 yards per pass play and 4.0 yards per play this season to an average slate of opposing offenses. The numbers are even better if you exclude the stats of the second string defense (which I do), which finished off some blowout wins, and I rate the Texas defense at 1.5 yprp better than average, 1.9 yppp better than average and 1.7 yppl better than average.

The Texas defense actually rates 0.2 yppl better than the Alabama defense, but the Crimson Tide proved that they can move the ball against a good defensive unit while Texas did not. Bama gained 508 yards at 6.5 yppl against Virginia Tech, 6.7 yppl against South Carolina, 6.9 yppl against LSU, and 7.3 yppl against a Florida defense that ranks among the best in the nation even without star DE Dunlap, who didn't play for the Gators due to suspension. Alabama also had a few games in which they didn't move the ball as well, averaging 4.7 yppl at Ole' Miss (which is actually 0.5 yppl more than Mississippi's defense would normally give up at home), 4.3 yppl against Tennessee, and 4.3 yppl at Auburn. However, Alabama's offense averaged a combined 6.2 yppl against good defensive teams (which would combine to allow 4.6 yppl to an average team) and their +1.6 yppl rating in those games is actually higher than their overall rating of +1.4 yppl. The Tide also had one of their best offensive games of the year against the best defense that they faced all season in their SEC Championship Game win over Florida.

Like their offense, the Texas defense also played relatively worse against better competition, as the Longhorns were only 0.7 yppl better than average defensively against the 5 good offensive teams that they faced (teams that were at least 0.5 yppl better than average). Those teams were Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Missouri, Kansas, and Texas A&M and the Longhorns allowed 5.3 yppl to those 5 teams, who would combine to average 6.0 yppl against an average team. Texas only faced one really good rushing team all season and Texas A&M racked up 212 yards at 5.7 yards per rushing play against the Horns. Texas also wasn't as good defensively against better than average passers, allowing 5.6 yppp to the 7 better than average quarterbacks that they faced, who would combine to average 6.9 yppp against an average defensive team. While being 1.3 yppp better than average is very good, it is not as good as the Longhorns' overall pass defense rating of 1.9 yppp better than average, which was helped out by dominating mediocre and bad passing teams.

Based on the profile analysis for the Texas defense, which plays relatively worse against better offensive teams, the Crimson Tide offense is expected to produce 338 yards at 5.4 yppl in this game. In addition to the advantage on both sides of the ball, Alabama is also less likely to turn the ball over. Texas does have outstanding special teams, which I rate as 2 points better than Alabama's pretty mediocre special teams (aside from their excellent kicker). Overall the math favors Alabama by 7 1/2 points in this game with a total of 44 1/2 points. I'll lean with Alabama and I'd consider the Crimson Tide a Strong Opinion at -3 or less. I have no opinion on the total, but would lean Under at 47 points or higher.

CBK: OP-IRVINE

Thursday College Opinion
UC Irvine (+5) over CS NORTHRIDGE
Rotation #725 - 7 PM Pacific
UC Irvine is coming off a horrible 14 point home loss to a bad Cal Poly team, but the Anteaters have proven to be a resilient team under coach Pat Douglass. Under Douglass the Anteaters are 26-5-1 ATS on the road after losing by 10 points or more and my ratings only favor Northridge by 4 1/2 points in this game.
Executive Sports



100-600 CFB: 300 TEX
 CBK: 300 MOREHEAD
Jim Feist



5-25-IC CFB: GOY-TEX
 CBK: 5 NO
Game Day



1-5 CFB: 2 UNDER
JB Sports



R-T CFB: R-TEX
Brandon Lang



5-1000 CFB: 100 ALA
L.A.T. Systems



1 CFB: PASS
 CBK: WKY
Dave Malinsky



1-6 CFB: PASS
Nation-Wide (Gold Sheet)



R-T-7 CFB: R-ALA
Mike Neri



2-10 CFB: 3 ALA
Larry Ness



5-25 CFB: 26 TEX
Northcoast Football




2-5 CFB: 2 UNDER
MARQUEE-TEXAS UNDER
Pointwise



2-5 CFB: 2 ALA
Preferred Picks



2-5 CFB: 4 TEX
Private Players



1-5 CFB: 3 TEX
LT Profits



R-T CFB: R-ALA
CBK: R-LA SALLE, FLATL-U, YOUNGS-U, FLINT-U, LONG-U
Randy Radke



R-T R-ALA
Wayne Root



R-T CFB: R-TEX
NO LIMIT-TEXAS
CBK: R-DEN
Score



100-1000
 CFB: 400 ALA
Scott Spreitzer



R-T
 CFB: T-TEX
Lenny Stevens



10-20
 CFB: 20 TEX
Kelso Sturgeon



R-T CFB: R-ALA
Underdog



Lock CFB: PASS
Wise Guy's



1 CFB: TEX
 CBK: DEN, FULL
*******ADDED QUALITY SOUGHT AFTER SERVICES AND OR REQUESTED BY OUR MEMBERS WHEN AVAILABLE*******
SEBASTIAN



5-500
 CFB: 300 TEX, 100 UNDER
WINNING POINTS



3-10 CFB: 4 ALA
FAIRWAY JAY



10-20 CFB: PASS
TEDDY COVERS



10-20 CFB: 10 ALA
 CBK: PST-O
HEISMANN TROPHY



R-T
 CFB: 10 ALA
TIM TRUSHEL 



10-20 CFB: 10 ALA
RON MEYER



1-20 CFB: PASS
SPECIAL "K"



1-20 CFB: PASS
*****MORE SERVICES AVAILABLE TO US*****
ALLEN EASTMAN (ACE-ACE)
$400.......Texas Longhorns +4.5
KILLER SPORTS LIVE
BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR
TEXAS +5 -- 2009 KSL BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR-OVER 44.5
Anthony Redd:
15-Dime - La Salle
15-Dime - New Orleans
15-Dime - UC Irvine
5-Dime - Tennessee Martin
5-Dime - Tennessee State
Ken Wietzner
TEX +4
Chris Jordan Thursday night winner ...
2010 BCS TITLE GAME WINNER
600-ALABAMA
Garrett
30 DIMER - ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE
10 DIMER - TEXAS-ALABAMA UNDER
Cappers Acces
CFB - Texas
CBK- Penn st
KING CREOLE SPORTS

KNICKS / BOBCATS Thursday
3*** OVER / UNDER Winner from King Creole!Plays rated 2 thru 5 stars

7:30pm ET / Charlotte Bobcats @ New York Knicks
3*** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
VR analysis
vegas-runner | CFB Side Thu, 01/07/10 - 8:10 PM

triple-dime bet 267 Texas 4.0 (-110) Bodog vs 268 Alabama
Analysis:

***** CFB BCS CHAMPIONSHIP 5* BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR *****
AAA Sports Handicapping
NCAAF: Texas Longhorns at Alabama Crimson Tide - Texas +4 (Best Bet) -110 | Unit Value: 3
Steve Duemig
Thursday
25 Dime - Texas
Ethan law
2 unit 3% texas +4
Don Wallace Sports
Texas +4.5 over Alabama
Marco D'Angelo & Vegas Runner.
COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR
Guys this it the game I have waited all Bowl Season for as this is the Game I have made my Biggest play of the Bowls on. You know I don't have Games of the Year everyday but when I do they win at a very high percentage. Over the last 8 years my Bowl Game of the Year is 7-1 and I'm looking for it to be 8-1 after tonight.

For the first time ever here at Pregame I am joining forces with Vegas Runner and we are offering both our plays for one price and you ask why???

Because Vegas Runner & I are on the same game and it's his Bowl Game of the Year as well. Get both games in one Package with complete analysis for $75. And you get a special Money Back for the Comeback Insurance see the package for complete details.

This is a rare money making opportunity from 2 of the Biggest Names in the Sports Betting industry join myself and Vegas Runner for this Big Game and bet the same game as Marco D'Angelo & Vegas Runner.
This should be available early Thursday!!

Texas
Romeo Santos
Alabama -4
Alfred Kelley's Bets 1/7
Cfb- Texas longhorns vs Alabama crimson tide- 7:35 p.m. cst
Take the under 46
NICK PARSONS
**CODE RED** BOWL BLOWOUT "GAME OF YEAR"!
Texas
John Morrison's pick(s) for January 7 2010
Alabama -4 This game is against Texas at 8:00 PM ET
Handicapper: Andy Iskoe
Matchup: Texas at Alabama
Time: 8:35 PM EDT (Thu)
Play: Alabama (-4 -110)
Sportsbetsnow
4 units Texas +4.5 (get the hook)
NEWYORK SPORTS INVESTORS(betonepicks)
3 Dime(cfb)Texas+4.5
John fina/winnininwaysports
high rollers only: Alabama
Mark Roth
10 Units Alabama (-4)
10 Units Penn St. (-2)
5 Units New Orleans (+14)
Damon Roberts from Eddieromanwins
30,000 DIME BCS BLANK CHECK GAME
30,000 DIME - TEXAS LONGHORNS +4
also
10,000 DIME - TEXAS LONGHORNS +170 MONEY LINE PLAY
10,000 DIME - TEXAS LONGHORNS +2.5 FIRST HALF PLAY
BOB AKMENS
BOWL FOOTBALL REPORT FOR TODAY’S ACTION:
#268 @810PM 10* ALABAMA -4 vs Texas
#268 @810PM 10* ALABAMA / TEXAS UNDER 46
Wunderdog
I rate each pick 1 to 5 units with 5 being the strongest play (read about units). Risk 1% of your bankroll per unit (never risk more than 5% of total bankroll on any pick).
Game: Texas vs. Alabama (Thursday 1/07 8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Texas +4 (-110) (risk 5 to win 4.6)
Tony George
ALABAMA -4
While I never like laying 4 points, the physical nature of the Alabama’s running game will the sole difference in this game. Alabama a TD Better. Texas has high talent at skill positions but rely on speed versus brawn. Teams who were physical gave them issues all year, Oklahoma, Nebraska and Tex AM all competed and both NU and OU should have beat them. Oklahoma would have, but lose QB Bradford in the first series of the game, and you all saw the Big 12 championship where NU held them to under 150 yards offense and should have won. Texas played an easy schedule, ALABAMA did not. The pounded Florida which is better than Texas on a neutral site and the physical nature of Alabama’s defense and speed of their linebackers will not allow Colt McCoy much time to throw the ball, nor much running room. Sabin a better coach than Mac Brown as well, Bama battle tested in the tough SEC.
Play 1 Unit on Alabama.
Bob Balfe
ALABAMA -4
Nelly's LTS
1* Texas
Spartan
TEXAS +4.5
Lenny Del Genio
LA SALLE +5.5
Jordan Haimowitz
Texas+4½-110
Stephen Nover
20 Dime Alabama - 4 or 4.5 ( buy to 4 )
Joyce Sterling
10* Game BCS Championship TOTAL
Alabama vs Texas under 46
St Bernadine sports advisors
Lefty
NCAABB
3* Alabama -4
NCAABB:
1* South Alabama ML +135 over W. Kentucky
1* Denver/New Orleans over 120.5
Dwayne bryant
Thursday 1.7.2010
BCS National Championship - Texas vs. Alabama - 8:35 p.m. ET on ABC
Bet: UNDER 46
JOSEPH D'AMICO
Play: Texas +4½
Savannah Sports
Todays Selections*
NCAA Bowl Games
(Best Bet) Texas +4*
3 (***) Texas Under 46
Charlie Scott
Texas vs. Alabama
Play: Texas +4
David Banks. Paid
NCAAF
8:00 Alabama -4 Pts
Under 46
NBA
7:30 New York Knicks -3.5 Pts
NCAAB
7:00 Penn State -1.5 Pts
7:00 Xavier -5 Pts
Adam Meyer
6* Texas +4.5
CHAD RUBIOLA
This line might tell you just how bad Tennessee State is. The Racers will blow by them tonight with help from their balanced attack, led by 6 players averaging 9 ppg or more. Play Murray State to cover.
PLAY: Murray State / -10.5 / 4 Units
Sam Cheng
Even though they have a bad record, the future looks very bright for the Golden Panthers behind Isiah Thomas. They have been much more competitive this year and tonight they face a struggling Warhawks team that has had a ton of trouble on the road. Take the Golden Panthers for the win and cover.
PLAY: Florida International / -2.5 / 4 Units
NSA
20* CFB Alabama -4
20* NBA Bobcats +3.5
20* CBB South Alabama +2.5
10* CFB Alabama under 46
10* CBB Michigan +2.5
10* CBB Cal State Fullerton +1.5
Teddy June
20* Texas
Harry Bondi
3* Alabama
Great Lakes Sports
College Football
4* Alabama
FYI
Fezzik did win the NFL Hilton Super Contest for the second year in a row. Nobody has ever won it twice, much less two years in a row.
Ultra Sports
4 units Texas
Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
*200 Alabama -4 (NCAAF)
Trey Scott of HandicappingTrends
*300 Western Kentucky -3 6pm GAME
*200 ULL -4 6pm GAME
*200 La Salle +4
The Duke's Sports
Penn state (-2) for 1.5 Units
KYLE BALES
100* Alabama-4
TEXAS SPORTSWIRE-CFB: 5 TEXAS
ANDRE GOMES
3* New York Knicks Over 199
BRETT ATKINS
4* Penn State Nittany Lions
CAJUN SPORTS
3* Texas Longhorns Under 46
3* Xavier Musketeers -4
3* Penn State Nittany Lions -2
JOHN RYAN
25* Texas Longhorns +4.5
3* Ottawa Senators (ML) +170
Sports Unlimited
20* Bowl GOY Texas + 5

*****MEMBERSHIP ABUSE POLICY*****
DO NOT SHARE THIS PAGE WITH ANYONE. DO NOT POST OR REDISTRIBUTE THIS PAGE OR INFORMATION ANYWHERE. IF THIS
INFORMATION HAS BEEN REDISTRIBUTED, YOU WILL FORFEIT YOUR MEMBERSHIP IMMEDIATELY. WE ARE JUST NOT OFFERING
TO SERVE TWO OR MORE MEMBERS FOR THE PRICE OF ONE OR HAVE OUR MANY HOURS OF HARD WORK EACH DAY FOR OUR
LOYAL PAYING MEMBERSHIP AVILABLE TO ANYONE ELSE FREE OF CHARGE OR PAY LESS THAN THEY DID.
THIS IS A ZERO TOLERANCE POLICY - NO EXCEPTIONS

Copyright ©  1996 - 2010 Sports Monitor & SMI Enterprises. All Rights Reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, without written permission of the author. All information for news matter only and not intended to violate any state or federal laws. This email message is intended for the use of the person to whom it has been sent, and may contain information that is confidential or legally protected. If you are not the intended recipient or have received this message in error, you are not authorized to copy, distribute, or otherwise use this message or its attachments. Please notify the sender immediately by return e-mail and permanently delete this message and any attachments. Although we take all reasonable precautions, Sports Monitor an SMI Enterprise co. makes no warranty that this email is error or virus free. Thank you.